Copa Libertadores Octavos
Global 2-0
Análisis Palmeiras vs U. Católica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
78.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 3
PAL
22%
27%
52%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
15%
25%
61%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 jul. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 jul. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 1
PAL
15%
24%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jul. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
15%
25%
61%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 jul. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 2
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 jul. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 0
UCO
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 4
IQU
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |