Análisis Panamá vs Venezuela
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Panamá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 may. 2000 |
VEN
3 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 may. 2000 |
PAN
4 - 0
NIC
70%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 may. 2000 |
JAM
0 - 1
PAN
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 may. 2000 |
HND
3 - 1
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 0
HND
22%
23%
54%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 jun. 2000 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2000 |
VEN
3 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 abr. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 4
ARG
13%
23%
65%
|
67 | 96 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2000 |
ECU
2 - 0
VEN
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 0
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |