Análisis Paraguay Sub20 vs Ecuador Sub20
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.9%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
6.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.62
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paraguay Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2005 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
20%
22%
57%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2005 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2003 |
PAR
0 - 1
ESP
33%
25%
43%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 0
GER
55%
22%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Ecuador Sub20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ene. 2005 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2005 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2003 |
ECU
2 - 3
PAR
14%
21%
66%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2003 |
ECU
0 - 2
BRA
5%
15%
80%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2003 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |