Análisis Paraná vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
30.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29.5%
Empate
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
39.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
13.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 sep. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 2
SAN
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 ago. 2015 |
CEA
4 - 3
PAR
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 ago. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
SAM
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 ago. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 sep. 2015 |
BAH
3 - 2
CRB
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 1
BAH
26%
28%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2015 |
SPO
4 - 1
BAH
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 ago. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
AMF
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
SPO
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |