Análisis Paraná vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
30.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
42.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
GOI
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2011 |
SAL
2 - 1
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
GUA
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
PAR
71%
18%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOA
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 2
NAU
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 ago. 2011 |
NAU
0 - 0
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |