Análisis Parets vs Polinya At.
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.63
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.6%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+73%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
PAR
28%
22%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 2
FRA
46%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
PAR
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 0
BSC
79%
14%
8%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2015 |
USP
2 - 3
PAR
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Polinya At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2015 |
POL
1 - 0
SER
30%
24%
46%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2015 |
VVA
2 - 1
POL
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2015 |
POL
0 - 3
VRR
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2015 |
BAB
5 - 1
POL
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
POL
5 - 2
SCE
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |