Análisis Parma vs Como
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.5%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+37%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 1956 |
PAR
2 - 2
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1956 |
CAG
0 - 1
PAR
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 dic. 1955 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
UNI
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1955 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 1956 |
COM
2 - 0
VER
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 ene. 1956 |
BAR
2 - 1
COM
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 1955 |
MES
0 - 0
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 1955 |
COM
1 - 0
USA
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1955 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |