Análisis Parma vs Como
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+32%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 1961 |
TRI
2 - 0
PAR
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
PAR
1 - 0
ASS
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
USF
1 - 2
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
MAN
2 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 0
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
COM
4 - 1
REG
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 1
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1961 |
COM
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |