Análisis Parma vs Lecce
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 1993 |
UDI
0 - 1
PAR
39%
29%
32%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 1993 |
NAP
1 - 1
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1993 |
PAR
2 - 0
INT
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1993 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAR
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1993 |
PAR
2 - 1
JUV
28%
28%
44%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 1993 |
LEC
0 - 1
ACM
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 93 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 1993 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASL
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 1993 |
BOL
2 - 3
LEC
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 may. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 1
SPA
70%
21%
9%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 may. 1993 |
VNZ
1 - 1
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |