Análisis Parma vs Lecce
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2011 |
GEN
3 - 1
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAT
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAG
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 1
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
LEC
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 ene. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2011 |
LAZ
1 - 2
LEC
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |