Análisis Parma vs Lecce
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAR
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAL
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 2
VER
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAR
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
UDI
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 3
LAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2011 |
NAP
4 - 2
LEC
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAT
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 1
LEC
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |