Análisis Parma vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30%
Empate
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
27.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
11.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 1986 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAR
40%
31%
29%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAM
47%
32%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
BAR
0 - 0
PAR
58%
26%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 1986 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAZ
44%
31%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1986 |
TRI
0 - 2
PAR
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
MES
28%
32%
41%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1986 |
MES
2 - 0
CAG
54%
25%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 1
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 1986 |
MES
0 - 0
BAR
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 1986 |
MES
2 - 1
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |