Análisis Parma vs Modena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71%
Probabilidad gana
2.15
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAR
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 2
FRO
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 0
PAR
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2008 |
ABN
1 - 0
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2008 |
PAR
4 - 1
ANC
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRE
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2008 |
EMP
3 - 1
MOD
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 sep. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 1
SAL
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 0
MOD
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 2008 |
RIM
4 - 3
MOD
65%
21%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |