Análisis Parnahyba vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Parnahyba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 dic. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 2006 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 dic. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 0
RIV
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 1
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 2006 |
PAR
8 - 1
4DE
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2007 |
VCR
2 - 1
NAU
16%
21%
63%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2007 |
CEN
0 - 1
NAU
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
SPO
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2007 |
NAU
3 - 2
BEL
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |