Análisis Patronato vs Defensa y Justicia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
36.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.23
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.2
Goles esperados
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 dic. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 1
IND
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
PAT
32%
33%
35%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2013 |
PAT
1 - 0
SMA
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 nov. 2013 |
GIM
0 - 0
PAT
37%
31%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2013 |
PAT
0 - 2
SPB
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Defensa y Justicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 dic. 2013 |
INS
1 - 1
DYJ
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2013 |
DYJ
4 - 0
DHA
65%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2013 |
DYJ
0 - 0
IND
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
DYJ
22%
28%
50%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2013 |
DYJ
3 - 0
SMA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |