Análisis Patronato vs Deportivo Merlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 2
IRV
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
PAT
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
PAT
3 - 3
BUC
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
GBR
2 - 0
PAT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
CEN
29%
30%
42%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 2011 |
ATT
1 - 0
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ALD
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 0
MER
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |