Análisis Paulista vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 2008 |
PAU
1 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
PAU
33%
23%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
PAU
1 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 ene. 2008 |
COR
2 - 0
PAU
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2008 |
PAU
1 - 2
PPE
50%
23%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
BRA
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2008 |
JUV
3 - 2
POR
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 1
POR
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 ene. 2008 |
ITU
1 - 0
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |