Análisis Paulista vs Atlético Sorocaba
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.78
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.6%
Empate
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2005 |
PAL
3 - 1
PAU
89%
8%
3%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2005 |
PAU
4 - 1
SAO
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +2 |
| 19 ene. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAU
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
PAU
1 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2004 |
BAH
2 - 0
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2005 |
ATL
0 - 1
COR
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
UNI
4 - 3
ATL
43%
24%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2005 |
ATL
0 - 0
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 1
ATL
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 1
PPE
16%
23%
62%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | +2 |