Análisis Paulista vs Ceará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2007 |
CRB
1 - 1
PAU
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2007 |
GAM
3 - 4
PAU
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2007 |
PAU
0 - 1
AVA
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2007 |
PAU
2 - 3
ITU
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 oct. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 2
PAU
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2007 |
CEA
3 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2007 |
CEA
1 - 1
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2007 |
SAO
3 - 3
CEA
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2007 |
CEA
2 - 1
REM
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 oct. 2007 |
CEA
2 - 0
IFC
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |