Análisis Paulista vs Grêmio Barueri
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.79
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2007 |
PAL
4 - 2
PAU
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2006 |
BRA
3 - 4
PAU
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2006 |
PAU
9 - 0
PAY
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 nov. 2006 |
REM
2 - 2
PAU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2006 |
PAU
0 - 2
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2007 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
SAN
6%
13%
81%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2006 |
GRÊ
3 - 0
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 nov. 2006 |
TRE
2 - 3
GRÊ
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2006 |
GRÊ
5 - 2
BRA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 nov. 2006 |
CRI
2 - 2
GRÊ
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |