Análisis Paulista vs Mogi Mirim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.61
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.2%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2004 |
REM
2 - 2
PAU
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
PAU
3 - 1
JEC
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAU
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAU
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
PAU
1 - 3
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 2
AVA
29%
27%
45%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2004 |
CEA
1 - 0
MOG
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 2004 |
MOG
0 - 0
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 1
PAL
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
MOG
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |