Análisis Paulista vs Mogi Mirim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.47
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 2004 |
PAU
4 - 0
SAN
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 2
PAU
23%
23%
55%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
PAU
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
PAU
3 - 3
OES
67%
19%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
MOG
49%
23%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2004 |
MOG
0 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
56%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 2
OES
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 5
MOG
41%
24%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 feb. 2004 |
MOG
0 - 1
ITU
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |