Serie C - Brasil Semifinal

Global 4-4

Análisis Paysandu vs Icasa

Paysandu Icasa
60 ELO 55
7.7% Tilt 10.7%
587º Ranking ELO general 6788º
36º Ranking ELO país 268º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
60.4%
Paysandu
22.2%
Empate
17.4%
Icasa

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Paysandu
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Icasa
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Paysandu
-11%
-5%
Icasa

Progresión del ELO

Paysandu
Icasa
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Paysandu
Paysandu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 nov. 2012
MAC
Macaé Esporte
3 - 2
Paysandu
PAY
49%
25%
27%
61 62 1 0
02 nov. 2012
PAY
Paysandu
2 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
40%
26%
35%
61 65 4 0
28 oct. 2012
ICA
Icasa
1 - 0
Paysandu
PAY
30%
26%
45%
61 55 6 0
21 oct. 2012
PAY
Paysandu
4 - 0
Salgueiro
SAL
65%
21%
14%
61 55 6 0
14 oct. 2012
CUI
Cuiabá
1 - 1
Paysandu
PAY
30%
26%
44%
61 54 7 0

Partidos

Icasa
Icasa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 nov. 2012
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
0 - 0
Icasa
ICA
50%
24%
26%
57 57 0 0
02 nov. 2012
ICA
Icasa
2 - 1
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
56 57 1 +1
28 oct. 2012
ICA
Icasa
1 - 0
Paysandu
PAY
30%
26%
45%
55 61 6 +1
21 oct. 2012
FOR
Fortaleza EC
1 - 0
Icasa
ICA
74%
17%
9%
56 68 12 -1
14 oct. 2012
ICA
Icasa
2 - 0
Salgueiro
SAL
47%
26%
27%
55 56 1 +1