Análisis PD Rociera vs Nervión
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.77
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.2%
Empate
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
PD Rociera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 2
ROC
18%
22%
61%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2013 |
ROC
3 - 1
UTR
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROC
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 ene. 2013 |
LEB
0 - 0
ROC
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 3
CAS
73%
17%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2013 |
NER
0 - 2
CAS
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
NER
62%
20%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 feb. 2013 |
NER
1 - 3
CIS
17%
20%
64%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
NER
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 ene. 2013 |
NER
2 - 1
PAL
21%
24%
56%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |