Análisis Pego vs CD Acero
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.38
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.3%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 2004 |
OND
1 - 0
PEG
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 1
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 oct. 2004 |
SPO
1 - 1
PEG
51%
27%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 2
GAN
42%
26%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
BEN
3 - 2
PEG
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 2004 |
ACE
0 - 2
DEN
16%
25%
59%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
BUR
2 - 1
ACE
74%
18%
8%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2004 |
OND
1 - 0
ACE
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
ACE
1 - 3
VIL
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
SPO
2 - 0
ACE
70%
20%
11%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |