Análisis Pego vs Dénia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
56.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2006 |
OND
2 - 0
PEG
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2006 |
PEG
1 - 0
ALC
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2006 |
SDS
0 - 1
PEG
65%
22%
13%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 sep. 2006 |
PEG
1 - 2
JOV
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2006 |
PUÇ
0 - 0
PEG
33%
25%
43%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2006 |
DEN
2 - 1
CRE
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2006 |
HOR
2 - 3
DEN
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2006 |
DEN
2 - 1
ELC
64%
22%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2006 |
ALZ
1 - 1
DEN
30%
29%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2006 |
DEN
4 - 0
CAT
59%
24%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |