Análisis Pego vs Dénia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
18%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
58.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 0
PEG
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
PEG
1 - 1
CDA
49%
24%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 sep. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
PEG
66%
21%
14%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 may. 2014 |
PEG
1 - 0
CAN
19%
23%
58%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 may. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
PEG
14%
23%
63%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Dénia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 2014 |
DEN
4 - 0
CTS
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
SDS
2 - 1
DEN
21%
24%
55%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 sep. 2014 |
DEN
5 - 1
REC
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2014 |
DEN
3 - 0
ALG
36%
27%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 may. 2014 |
BEN
5 - 3
DEN
37%
25%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |