Análisis Pego vs Novelda CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
23.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28%
Empate
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
48.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 0
PEG
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
PUÇ
3 - 1
PEG
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
PEG
0 - 2
OND
25%
26%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2008 |
BUR
3 - 0
PEG
63%
22%
15%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
PEG
1 - 1
CRE
36%
27%
37%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 0
UTI
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAS
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
NOV
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
NOV
0 - 2
LEV
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 2008 |
GAN
1 - 1
NOV
36%
29%
34%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |