Análisis Pego vs Valencia Mestalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 2004 |
TCF
2 - 3
PEG
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
PEG
2 - 2
CAT
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
PEG
23%
25%
53%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
PEG
1 - 1
ELD
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2004 |
ONT
1 - 1
PEG
57%
25%
19%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 oct. 2004 |
VAL
0 - 1
DEN
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
ACE
1 - 0
VAL
14%
24%
63%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2004 |
VAL
2 - 0
OND
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
VAL
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2004 |
VAL
3 - 0
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |