Análisis Penya Deportiva vs CE Alaior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penya Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 abr. 2011 |
BNS
1 - 0
PXD
39%
28%
34%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2011 |
MER
1 - 3
PXD
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
PXD
2 - 0
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2011 |
MNC
1 - 0
PXD
35%
29%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
PXD
3 - 1
LLO
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
CE Alaior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
PEN
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2011 |
MNC
3 - 0
ALA
66%
21%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2011 |
ALA
2 - 3
LLO
38%
26%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 2011 |
SNF
2 - 0
ALA
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
ALA
1 - 0
FER
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |