Análisis Peña Sport vs Subiza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
87.5%
Probabilidad gana
3.16
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.9%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.54
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 feb. 2019 |
OSA
2 - 0
PEÑ
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2019 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
CDC
90%
7%
2%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
PEÑ
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2019 |
RUN
4 - 0
PEÑ
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 ene. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Subiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2019 |
SUB
0 - 1
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2019 |
CDA
2 - 1
SUB
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2019 |
SUB
0 - 0
CDB
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2019 |
SUB
1 - 2
OSA
20%
22%
59%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 ene. 2019 |
CDC
2 - 1
SUB
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |