Segunda Liga Jor. 9

Análisis Penafiel vs Benfica II

Penafiel Benfica II
65 ELO 61
-14.2% Tilt -1.4%
1719º Ranking ELO general 1175º
33º Ranking ELO país 22º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
43.4%
Penafiel
27.4%
Empate
29.2%
Benfica II

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Penafiel
1.34
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.4%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Benfica II
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Penafiel
-28%
+2%
Benfica II

Progresión del ELO

Penafiel
Benfica II
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Penafiel
Penafiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 nov. 2018
MAF
Mafra
1 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
37%
27%
36%
65 61 4 0
29 oct. 2018
PEN
Penafiel
2 - 1
Académica
ACA
43%
29%
29%
65 65 0 0
21 oct. 2018
FAF
Fafe
0 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
12%
18%
69%
65 50 15 0
06 oct. 2018
SPC
SC Covilha
0 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
25%
27%
48%
65 58 7 0
30 sep. 2018
TRO
Trofense
2 - 3
Penafiel
PEN
11%
19%
70%
65 46 19 0

Partidos

Benfica II
Benfica II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 nov. 2018
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
1 - 0
Benfica II
BEN
62%
22%
16%
62 74 12 0
27 oct. 2018
BEN
Benfica II
3 - 2
SC Covilha
SPC
67%
20%
14%
63 58 5 -1
06 oct. 2018
COV
Cova Piedade
0 - 0
Benfica II
BEN
36%
26%
38%
62 58 4 +1
22 sep. 2018
BEN
Benfica II
1 - 0
Varzim
VAR
52%
24%
24%
61 64 3 +1
01 sep. 2018
ACA
Académica
1 - 1
Benfica II
BEN
46%
27%
27%
61 66 5 0