Análisis Penafiel vs Chaves
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
33.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.12
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.1%
Empate
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2020 |
COV
2 - 2
PEN
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAS
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2020 |
ACV
1 - 0
PEN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
PEN
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2020 |
PEN
3 - 0
FAR
34%
28%
38%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
Partidos
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2020 |
MAF
1 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 2
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
LEX
57%
25%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |