Análisis Penafiel vs FC Marco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 1
OVA
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2004 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 1
UNM
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 1
PEN
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 1
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 2004 |
FCM
0 - 0
NAV
23%
24%
54%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
FCM
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 ene. 2004 |
FCM
2 - 2
FEI
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 1
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 dic. 2003 |
FCM
3 - 0
PED
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | -1 |