Análisis Penafiel vs Sertanense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.08
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-25%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 2
SCF
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2008 |
BMA
1 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 2
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2007 |
VIZ
0 - 0
PEN
52%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
PEN
2 - 3
GFC
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2007 |
VAR
3 - 1
SER
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |