Análisis Penafiel vs Sporting Braga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
24.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28.6%
Empate
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
47.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-26%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 0
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2006 |
NAV
4 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
EST
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2005 |
FCP
3 - 1
PEN
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2005 |
PEN
0 - 1
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 2006 |
SPB
1 - 0
UDL
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 1
SPB
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2006 |
SPB
3 - 2
SCP
26%
25%
49%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2005 |
GFC
2 - 1
SPB
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 2005 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |