Análisis Penafiel vs SC Covilha
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2003 |
SAL
3 - 1
PEN
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2003 |
PEN
2 - 0
FEL
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 2003 |
EST
2 - 0
PEN
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 2003 |
PEN
4 - 4
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
MAI
2 - 2
PEN
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 oct. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 2
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2003 |
FEI
3 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 2
NAV
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 2
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 ago. 2003 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPC
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |