Segunda Liga Jor. 18

Análisis Penafiel vs União Madeira

Penafiel União Madeira
65 ELO 60
-10.2% Tilt 2.2%
1719º Ranking ELO general 22481º
33º Ranking ELO país 401º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
50%
Penafiel
27.3%
Empate
22.7%
União Madeira

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Penafiel
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
27.3%
Empate
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
União Madeira
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Penafiel
União Madeira
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Penafiel
Penafiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 feb. 2012
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 2
Nacional
NAC
23%
26%
52%
65 79 14 0
29 ene. 2012
BEL
Os Belenenses
2 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
45%
27%
29%
65 65 0 0
22 ene. 2012
PEN
Penafiel
2 - 0
Trofense
TRO
38%
28%
34%
65 67 2 0
18 ene. 2012
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
77%
16%
7%
65 88 23 0
15 ene. 2012
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 0
SC Freamunde
SCF
48%
26%
26%
64 62 2 +1

Partidos

União Madeira
União Madeira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 ene. 2012
UNM
União Madeira
1 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
54%
25%
21%
61 60 1 0
22 ene. 2012
AVE
Desportivo Aves
1 - 1
União Madeira
UNM
62%
23%
16%
60 68 8 +1
14 ene. 2012
POR
Portimonense
1 - 2
União Madeira
UNM
58%
24%
18%
60 64 4 0
05 ene. 2012
UNM
União Madeira
1 - 1
Atlético CP
ATL
37%
27%
36%
60 67 7 0
28 dic. 2011
LEX
Leixões
1 - 0
União Madeira
UNM
61%
23%
16%
60 68 8 0