Análisis Penafiel vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-32%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 1998 |
GFC
1 - 0
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1998 |
PEN
2 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 1998 |
UNI
1 - 5
PEN
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1998 |
PEN
1 - 0
PAÇ
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 1998 |
ESP
0 - 0
PEN
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 1998 |
VAR
6 - 1
NAV
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1998 |
EST
2 - 1
VAR
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 1998 |
VAR
0 - 1
ESP
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 1998 |
MOR
2 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 1998 |
VAR
2 - 1
UNM
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |