Análisis Penafiel vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 1999 |
PEN
2 - 2
LEC
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1999 |
BMA
0 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1999 |
PEN
4 - 0
MOR
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 1999 |
ESP
0 - 1
PEN
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1999 |
PEN
0 - 0
AVE
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 oct. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 2
BMA
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1999 |
MOR
0 - 1
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 1
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 1999 |
AVE
0 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 2
FEL
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |