Análisis Penafiel vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
+30%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 2003 |
PEN
1 - 0
SAN
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
ADO
0 - 2
PEN
18%
23%
60%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
POR
1 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
PEN
1 - 0
FEI
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2003 |
NAV
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 nov. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
POR
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
6%
15%
79%
|
66 | 14 | 52 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
FEI
0 - 1
VAR
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
NAV
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 2003 |
SPC
0 - 1
VAR
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |