Análisis Penafiel vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-26%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 abr. 2019 |
VSC
4 - 5
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
PAÇ
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
PEN
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 2
MAF
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 1
PEN
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 abr. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARO
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2019 |
ACV
1 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 mar. 2019 |
VAR
1 - 1
OLI
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 mar. 2019 |
FAR
3 - 0
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 mar. 2019 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |