Campeonato de Portugal Grupo B. Jor. 17

Análisis Penalva Castelo vs Leça FC

Penalva Castelo Leça FC
25 ELO 21
-2.4% Tilt -11.1%
21571º Ranking ELO general 20470º
370º Ranking ELO país 318º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
65.9%
Penalva Castelo
18.2%
Empate
15.9%
Leça FC

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
65.9%
Probabilidad gana
Penalva Castelo
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.9%
Probabilidad gana
Leça FC
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Penalva Castelo
Leça FC
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Penalva Castelo
Penalva Castelo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 ene. 2019
COI
Coimbrões
2 - 0
Penalva Castelo
PEN
76%
14%
9%
26 38 12 0
16 dic. 2018
PAR
USC Paredes
2 - 0
Penalva Castelo
PEN
59%
21%
21%
26 31 5 0
09 dic. 2018
PEN
Penalva Castelo
1 - 2
Cinfães
CIN
42%
24%
34%
27 34 7 -1
02 dic. 2018
ESP
Espinho
2 - 1
Penalva Castelo
PEN
79%
14%
8%
28 42 14 -1
18 nov. 2018
PEN
Penalva Castelo
1 - 5
Lusitano FCV
LUS
21%
25%
53%
30 44 14 -2

Partidos

Leça FC
Leça FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 ene. 2019
LEC
Leça FC
2 - 0
USC Paredes
PAR
19%
24%
57%
18 32 14 0
16 dic. 2018
CIN
Cinfães
0 - 0
Leça FC
LEC
80%
14%
6%
18 35 17 0
09 dic. 2018
LEC
Leça FC
0 - 1
Espinho
ESP
11%
20%
69%
18 42 24 0
02 dic. 2018
MAR
Marítimo II
1 - 1
Leça FC
LEC
80%
14%
6%
18 37 19 0
18 nov. 2018
LEC
Leça FC
1 - 2
AD Sanjoanense
SAN
11%
18%
72%
19 39 20 -1
X