Análisis Peñarol vs Vélez Sarsfield
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
39.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 2025 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
PLA
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2025 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
TOR
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2025 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
OLI
57%
24%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2025 |
ABB
0 - 3
PEÑ
31%
24%
46%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2025 |
DEF
0 - 1
PEÑ
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 2025 |
LAN
2 - 0
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2025 |
VEL
3 - 0
ABB
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2025 |
VEL
1 - 1
OLI
53%
26%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2025 |
RIV
4 - 1
VEL
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2025 |
VEL
1 - 0
GLP
41%
29%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |