Análisis Peñarol vs Danubio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
PEÑ
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
ETS
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 0
PEÑ
20%
25%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2015 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DEF
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
TAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2015 |
DAN
3 - 0
FEN
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2015 |
COR
4 - 0
DAN
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2015 |
REN
1 - 0
DAN
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
COR
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | -1 |