Análisis Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jun. 2006 |
ROC
0 - 1
PEÑ
34%
25%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2006 |
PEÑ
1 - 5
MWA
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 jun. 2006 |
CSC
1 - 1
PEÑ
32%
27%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2006 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
BVS
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 jul. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 0
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 jul. 2006 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 2006 |
DEF
3 - 1
REN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2006 |
DEF
2 - 0
JUN
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |