Análisis Peñarol vs Deportivo Cali
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
65.4%
Probabilidad gana
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+26%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jun. 1978 |
DAN
1 - 2
PEÑ
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1978 |
JUN
1 - 0
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1978 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1978 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
DAN
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1977 |
DEF
2 - 4
PEÑ
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jul. 1978 |
CAL
0 - 0
JUN
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1978 |
CAL
2 - 0
DAN
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 may. 1978 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 1978 |
JUN
0 - 0
CAL
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 ago. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |