Análisis Peñarol vs Fénix
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
66.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2017 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 1
PEÑ
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 2017 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
LFC
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2017 |
ETS
0 - 4
PEÑ
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 2017 |
FEN
0 - 0
RIV
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 3
FEN
35%
29%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2017 |
FEN
0 - 1
DAN
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 2
FEN
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2017 |
FEN
2 - 3
SUD
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |