Análisis Peñarol vs Miramar Misiones
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
68.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 2007 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
RIV
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2007 |
REN
2 - 3
PEÑ
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2007 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
MWA
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2007 |
ROC
1 - 2
PEÑ
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2007 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
JUN
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Miramar Misiones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 2007 |
CSM
2 - 1
DAN
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2007 |
TAC
3 - 2
CSM
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 mar. 2007 |
CSM
2 - 0
NAC
33%
26%
42%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 mar. 2007 |
CEN
0 - 2
CSM
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 mar. 2007 |
CSM
2 - 2
PRO
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |