Análisis Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
68.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13%
Probabilidad gana
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 1
PEÑ
30%
25%
44%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 jul. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 3
PEÑ
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 4
TOR
81%
14%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 jul. 2018 |
MWA
3 - 1
BOS
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 jun. 2018 |
MWA
0 - 1
FEN
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 0
LFC
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 may. 2018 |
CER
2 - 1
MWA
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 may. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 4
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |